Saturday, June 9, 2012

Matric Results 2011 - Facts Behind Figures

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The recent 2011 National publish of the full-time communal Grade 12 results was well received by the nation. According to the clergyman of Basic instruction Angie Motshekga, last year's results were 70, 2% and showed an revising of 2, 4%.

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Although as a country we have to celebrate this sustained revising in our Grade 12 results, there seems to be a gloomy picture behind these promising numbers. Nationally the total estimate of full-time Grade 12 learners that enrolled was 511038 in 2011. Out of that total enrolment the total estimate of full-time students did not write the examination. A ask has to be asked as to what happened to these candidates. Also those who have disappeared due to natural attrition, answers should be in case,granted as to the whereabouts of the others.

The other disturbing trend that should be of great concern is the sustained decline in the total estimate of full-time candidates who sit for the examinations. According to the article on the National Senior Certificate test 2011, from 2009 to 2010 the total estimate of full-time candidates who wrote decreased by 3, 8% from 580937 to 558980. The decline from 2010 to 2011 was more pronounced as the total estimate of full-time candidates who wrote fell by a whopping 8, 6% from 558980 to 511038.

On the other hand the total estimate of part-time learners has been showing some ample growth over the same period. From 2009 to 2010 the estimate of part-time learners swelled by a immense 110% from 39255 to 82553 in those years respectively. The growth can also be observed from figures of 2010 and 2011 as the estimate of part-timers rose by 37% from 82553 to 112780 over the period.

There is a growing perception out there that an expanding estimate of schools, in an endeavor to boost their pass rates, register some of their Grade 12 learners as part-time candidates. This convention is believed to have been pioneered by the previous Model C schools. Currently a vital estimate of township schools seem to have followed suit, hence the sudden dwindling in the estimate of full-time learners since 2009.

This trend has been indirectly encouraged by the instruction authorities who commonly emphasize the growth in pass rates at the cost of quality. In an endeavor to boost their schools' pass rates principals sacrifice the estimate of their Grade 12 students by either retaining some of their midpoint learners in Grade 11 or registering some of the Grade 12 students as part-time candidates. This scenario is obvious in last year's results as the estimate of students who wrote the exams in all provinces declined from that of 2010 with the exception of Eastern Cape.

The scenario as depicted above does not bode well for the legitimacy of these results. One is left wondering what would have happened to the results had the estimate of full-time candidates been relatively constant throughout the years.

Although the country should celebrate the marginal revising in the wide results, it would be a mistake if we get puffed-up in the process. A lot is private rather than revealed in these numbers.

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